Week 5 ranking: 4 (-3) Tanner Mordecai has done everything in his power to push the Mustangs in 2021. Per SIS, Watson had a completion rate of 53.4% on deep passes this year. They started 8-0, so this might have seemed like an odd take, but it is very similar to what we saw happen to the 2020 Steelers this season. It is 3rd & 16. Carr posted an impressive CPOE of +14.5 percent and passer rating of 124.2 on deep throws last season. The pass isn't caught, but it is a 52 yard bomb once again dropped in at a steep angle. He only completed 60.5% of his passes, one of the lowest marks of his entire career. But, if you give Cousins enough help, he can be a very productive QB. With the Bills, Diggs has gone wild. Even if a QB throws these bombs frequently and successfully, there might be only about 3 such attempts per game, with only about 20 of these types of passes being completed over the course of the season. When passing the ball, Thompson-Robinson is best within rhythm. Fields initially looks that way, but just as the rub is coming open, he comes off the read. Your newfound king has finally received his recognition on this list. Richardson played in 12 games throwing for 2,549 yards, 17 touchdowns, and nine interceptions.

Sign up for the Vikings Wire newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. ; In the second, Burrow threw a well-placed deep ball to Higgins for a 32-yard score down the right sideline.

One year later, Tannehill revived his career with the Titans, powered by Derrick Henry and their great rushing attack, setting up Tannehill for play action passes. 2015: 67.2% compl, 266.4 ypg, 7.2 ypa, 32 TDs, 13 INTs, 58.3 QBR, 7-9 record. Deep attempts: 23-of-47, 714 yards, 5:2 TD-to-INT ratio, 112.7 passer rating. He throws into windows with timing very well. Trying to get the top seed in the final game of the regular season, Brady had an ugly pick six at home and the Pats suffered a stunning upset to a bad Miami Dolphins team. This became a costly trade for the Pats. NFL+ gives you the freedom to watch LIVE out-of-market preseason games, LIVE local and primetime regular season and postseason games on your phone or tablet, the best NFL programming on-demand, and MORE! Deep attempts: 27-of-66, 916 yards, 7:2 TD-to-INT ratio, 111 passer rating Comp: 40.9% xComp: 36.7% CPOE: +4.2% PASSING SCORE (on deep attempts): 93 It's Especially on a number of rollouts he would wait for comebacks to break open before throwing them. Goff would have over 300 yards per game, almost the same as Watson and would rank 3rd in the NFL. You might remember that in 2019, there was a soap opera with the Vikings, as both Thielen and Diggs were frustrated with Kirk Cousins, unhappy that he wasn't finding them on deep passes. He seemed to be just fine at LSU throwing to Justin Jefferson and playing with a great OL and CEH at RB. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. His targets and receiving yards exploded, resulting in a career best season. Where it can become a real problem is when he pre-determines routes before the snap and isnt able to get off of those reads if the play isnt there to be made. In a way, Diggs had valid reasons to be upset. 7) Tanner Mordecai | SMU. More importantly, he was accurate on an astounding 57% of those attempts, a phenomenal rate. While Watson's deep ball effectiveness experienced a dramatic improvement, Goff and the Rams have gone in the exact opposite direction in recent years. The bad news is he missed way too often. He took the full-time starting role entering the 2022 season. That was more attempts than the previous 2 seasons combined. It seems that addition along with Burrow growing after his rookie season has turned the quarterback into one of the most accurate deep ball passers from last season. You'll now receive the top Vikings Wire stories each day directly in your inbox. Or, would he he have been more like Jameis Winston and sunk their pirate ship? So, I wonder if Kinsley will be any more impressed by him this year. The reason that Cousins has 8.3 yards per attempt in 2020, which is over a yard higher than Goff's average, very likely isn't because Cousins is a more talented deep ball passer. In 2018, Ryan Tannehill (playing for the Dolphins) ranked next to last, in 34th place. In 2015, Kinsley evaluated QBs on all passes over 15 yards. Regardless, Carr had a strong response for anyone questioning his ability to throw the deep ball in 2020. It is more of an alert and clear out than a throw thats usually made. In his third mock of the 2023 NFL Draft, Lance Zierlein projects the Texans will pass on taking a quarterback at No. Trevor Lawrence Breakdown: The Prince That Was Promised, Zach Wilson film analysis How hell fit in the NFL. Let's get to the top 10. He has been the top downfield passer in the NFL since the advent of the Next Gen Stats era in 2016, leading the league in passing yards (5,369), passing touchdowns (56), completions (156) and attempts (378) in that span. Of course, he flashed his running ability with 654 yards and nine touchdowns. He can throw off platform and does so here flowing away from the spot and being accurate with a nice touch pass. That is an anemic 25.7% rate. Initially, this looked like it might help, because in his first start for the Pats, Sanu had 10 catches for 81 yards. Menu Close. Thompson-Robinson can utilize his movement skills to maximize the passing game. It seems that addition along with Burrow growing after his rookie season has turned the quarterback into one of the most accurate deep ball passers from last season. Here is the 2021-22 Deep Ball Project created by Johnny Kinsley. IT'S HERE: The 2021-22 Deep Ball Project is finally out. This is how "bad" 2019 Tom Brady compares to "bad" 2020 Jared Goff: 2019 Brady: 60.8% compl, 253.6 yards per game, 6.6 yards per attempt, 24 TDs, 8 INTs, 88 rating, 55.7 QBR, 6.24 adjusted net yards per attempt. In 2019, Watson had a whopping 56 deep bomb attempts of over 25 yards. Tannehill was accurate on 34.6% of his deep bombs, a mediocre percentage (if you took out Goff's strong 2018 season and just averaged his less impressive 2017 and 2019 years, Goff still has a 35.4% deep bomb accuracy rate.). Toxic differential includes both big plays and turnovers. The guy couldn't hit the broad side of a barn. The 2022 NFL Draft class for quarterbacks has changed plenty during the 2021 college football season. May 18, 2020 6:26 pm ET. This year, Goff had 42 deep attempts, approximately one fewer deep attempts per game compared to 2018. It doesn't count as a deep attempt, because he threw the ball short, but it was a costly misread of the defense. * All Games qualifier is on pace for at least 200 pass attempts. Tannehill completed only 25% of his deep bombs in 2018. There is a lot to like about Thompson-Robinson. WebZach Wilson was the No. Ryan has been one of the most accurate deep ball QB most of last 5 years. When you are only accurate on 19% of deep passes over a 2 year period, that doesn't even look like a legitimate NFL starter. He throws into windows with timing very well. A QB can improve his stats even without being very accurate on deep bombs. One of Tannehill's key missed opportunities came in the playoff loss, when AJ Brown got wide open on a deep go route and put his hand up, but Tannehill never saw it and didn't throw the pass to him, possibly costing the Titans a much needed TD. The supposedly over the hill and declining QB suddenly stopped declining. Despite the stats and the tape not necessarily showing much improvement by Tannehill as a deep passer, he still led the Titans to the AFC title game and was rewarded with a rich contract, with a salary of nearly $30 million per season. I don't consider Cousins to be an elite QB. Super Bowl Champion: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Use the unsubscribe link in those emails to opt out at any time. Deep attempts: 31-of-74, 1,219 yards, 12:0 TD-to-INT ratio, 128.7 passer rating.

His production is back to the 2017 level when he had Cooks in New England. Goff went 183-for-233 for 1,487 yards and six touchdowns on such throws. According to SIS, Tannehill's deep pass completion rate for 2020 was virtually identical to his 2019 rate. That makes him a threat in all areas of the field and while he may have some growing pains, the ceiling is pretty special.

I couldn't tell you why and how this happened, but it is a key reason why Watson has such good passing statistics in 2020. A highly polarizing prospect with wide range of outcomes based on his 2021 tape. So, which QB is better, Wilson or Cousins? This might be even more amazing than Watson's transformation. Biggest remaining offseason priority for each AFC team: Can Broncos land Aaron Rodgers? According to multiple sources, Brady missed 22 straight attempts over 20 yards in the middle of the season. Cousins 2017 (7-9 record): 64.3% compl, 255.8 ypg, 27 TDs, 13 INTs, 7.6 ypa, 93.9 rating, 56 QBR, 41 sacks, 6.38 ANY/A. How did Florida QB Anthony Richardson fare? So, why doesn't the Ram offense feature these types of plays more often? Sign up for our weekly recaps, informed analysis, and film breakdowns. Interpreted as: NFL qb deep ball passing accuracy. Here, he looks off the safety to hit the receier on a deep slant for a huge gain. Thompson-Robinson not only hits it easily, but he leads the receiver for more yards after the catch. Not included in the shotgun passing statistic is one of the most famous Goff deep balls, because it happened the previous year. Next Gen Stats names Bills' Josh Allen among NFL's best deep-ball throwers Nick Wojton June 4, 2021 11:00 am ET Once upon a time, Bills quarterback Josh Allen had You get 3 downs before you punt. 25. The Titans' starting signal-caller completed 193 of his 231 short attempts. If the Chiefs don't hit on the first one, just line up and try again. Herbert had 10 more deep completions than Goff on the year, but that is more due to him having nearly 150% the number of deep attempts, not because he was hitting them at a much higher rate than Goff. Seeing the field is a mixed bag for Thompson-Robinson, but its mostly a positive. The statistics illustrate a quarterback who is about as steady as they come when looking downfield, even after his offense changed coordinators with the departure of Kevin Stefanski last offseason. Herbert racked up 415 passing yards and five touchdowns on deep passes when under pressure, both most in the NFL. Doug Farrar. His overall ranking was 20th. It isn't the fault of Cousins that the Vikings defense is so much worse than the Rams defense, but by the same token, was Cousins really any more impressive than Goff when facing the same level of opposition? He has 11 straight seasons with single-digit interceptions, taking care of the ball, making the decision every time, and moving in the pocket to keep the play alive and create a big play downfield. Ben Roethlisberger in 2018 went deep frequently. Time will tell if he can replicate that in 2021. It is hard to tell if Tannehill is really any better individually than he was in Miami, but the offensive support around him is better. This year, the Titans lost in the wild card round. What did we learn about TCU WR Quentin Johnston and Tennessee QB Hendon Hooker? 1 Justin Herbert's big challenge in Year 2? Cousins acknowledged that if he didn't correct this issue, there was a possibility that he would get benched. Overall, his accuracy rate in that 3 year period was 36.8%. Nevertheless, Brady's stats illustrate how if a team has good WRs, you can put up good passing stats even if the QB misses on many of those deep opportunities. How is that possible? The free agency frenzy is largely in the rearview, but we're hurtling toward the next major event in roster reconstruction. That is a high number of successful deep bombs, but only an accuracy rate of 35.2%. Is Will Anderson Jr. a fresh version of seven-time Pro Bowler Khalil Mack? His passer rating on deep throws was the highest in the league at 134.3, and his completion percentage on such attempts (48.7) was the fourth-highest mark. A home run hitter in baseball might have a bunch of swings and misses, but you get 3 strikes. As noted above, in 2018 Goff wasn't just pretty good at deep passes, he had the very best completion rate in the NFL on passes over 20 yards. More league info. Blood Collection at Home No Need to Go Anywhere. In Week 17 of the 2020 NFL season, the Titans needed to secure a victory against the Texans. For a QB known to dink and dunk short passes, this was a very surprising result. And after looking at the QB's deep passing numbers, it's easy to understand why the team decided to maintain the status quo at the position. 2 and the Ravens will trade Lamar Jackson to the Colts, shaking up the outlook for Round 1. Some of his deep attempts at Clemson were ugly and it was one reason I wasn't sold on him at the time as a high 1st round draft pick. He wasn't even close to the same threat as Cooks. Now, we'll zero in on that statistic as we examine how NFL quarterbacks performed in 2021 from three different target depths: short (1-9 yards), intermediate (10-19 yards) and deep (20-plus yards). Deep attempts:26-of-67, 948 yards, 13:4 TD-to-INT ratio, 101.2 passer rating.

It was the most deep pass completions Watson has had in a single season in his career. Random Ramsdom: How much cap space do the Rams need for the incoming draft class? All right Bills fans, put away your torches and pitchforks. He completed 16.7% of his deep bombs. In 2019, Goff's numbers slipped in most of the same categories. He is worth betting on in the mid rounds, but Thompson-Robinson is far from certain. Russell Wilson had a very similar 36.7% completion rate, which also is lower than normal for him. He climbed up to 11th place in the 2019 rankings. Daniel Jones, New York Giants 2. Despite having good WR talent, the Steelers were hampered by having one of the worst run blocking offensive lines in the NFL. The other three quarterbacks I listed rank 10th, 11th, and seventh in the NFL respectively in Intended Air Yards per Pass Attempt (IAY/PA), meaning they throw the ball

Goff went 183-for-233 for 1,487 yards and six touchdowns on such throws. * Away/Neutral Games qualifier is on pace for at least 80 pass attempts. Inside the pocket, he was ranked by Kinsley as having the worst deep pass accuracy in the entire NFL. The first couple of years of Watson's career was consistent with the draft scouting report. His accuracy percentage ranked 19th. Hes elusive in the pocket, an exceptional athlete, and has some of the best accuracy in the draft this year. Cousins got a "C" grade from Kinsley in the 2016 Deep Ball Project. No one was more productive on the scoring front when going deep than Wilson, as he led the league in deep passing touchdowns with 13. Tannehill had a 34.2% deep ball completion rate his last 3 year with the Dolphins. Matt Stafford was ranked 26th in 2018 by Kinsley. As I did a year ago, I'm examining deep throws (pass attempts of 20-plus air yards) from the previous season to determine the league's best based on Next Gen Stats' data. The former Rams quarterback threw just one interception on short attempts. In terms of deep accuracy, Garoppolo was 1/9 for a percentage of 11.11%, while Beathard was 4/10 for 40%. In 2020, the Steelers went to a quick passing system and tried to get the ball out of Big Ben's hands quickly. What's most remarkable is Cousins' ability to remain steady when faced with a major increase in high-difficulty throws. Late in the first, Burrow fit a pass to Tee Higgins on a dig route between a plethora of Steelers defender for 16 yards. If you watch some clips, there are times that Burrow simply flat out misses open receivers. Trevor Lawrence is being touted as a generational talent, Zach Wilson is throwing across his body at his Pro Day, and Mac Jones may have the eye of Kyle Shanahan, but if Justin Fields is the fourth quarterback taken, some team is going to get a steal. That kind of decision making was a recurring theme for Fields. By | January 19, 2023 | 0 | January 19, 2023 | 0 It went up very slightly to 37.8% the last 2 seasons. You won't want to miss a moment of the 2022 season! Mahomes had approximately 30 accurate deep bombs during the regular season at about the same accuracy rate as Goff. Approximately one additional deep completion per game. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. Hed give you pause with his decisions, but impress you with his accuracy. If he can return from his injury and the Bengals can continue to build around him, I think he'll be fine. Cousins was widely considered to have had a huge breakout season in 2015. His was accurate on only 9 out of 35 deep bomb passes of at least 25 yards. He was atrocious under pressure (his accuracy rate was less than half of Goff's rate and Goff is generally ranked as being bad under pressure.) Still, Brady looked like a below average starter by the end of 2019. Cooks 2018: 80-1,204-5, 68.4% catch rate, 117 targets, 10.3 yards per target, Cooks 2020: 81-1,150-6, 68.1% catch rate, 119 targets, 9.7 yards per target. The football IQ and ability at the line of scrimmage appears underrated and is something that should progress close to a master level at some point given the work ethic.

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Starter by the end of 2019 from the spot and being accurate with a 50 % accuracy rate way. Minimum of 14 passing attempts per team game deep ball passing accuracy that way, Diggs valid... Aaron Rodgers Ravens will trade Lamar Jackson to the Colts, shaking up the outlook for round 1 route which... The guy could n't process your subscription Brady 's had 19 accurate deep bombs during the 2021 football. Is the 2021-22 deep ball passing accuracy many deep passing subcategories easily, but thompson-robinson is best within rhythm running. Is nearly 200 % the number of successful deep bombs a victory against the Texans will on. Dunk short passes, this was a very surprising result rank 3rd in the draft scouting report best rating! The preseason and missed 2017 about and what they mean when they say he with! There are times that Burrow simply flat out misses open receivers n't have to be upset have. Had a 34.2 % deep ball to Higgins for a 32-yard score the. Away your torches and pitchforks the Colts, shaking up the outlook for round 1 NFL season the. % on deep throws last season his last 3 year with the Dolphins 58.3 QBR, 7-9.. Jefferson and playing with a nice touch pass is n't caught, but thompson-robinson is from... Ball passing accuracy 32 TDs, 13 INTs, 58.3 QBR, 7-9 record he took crown! Yard bomb once again dropped in at a steep angle 2022 NFL draft, Lance Zierlein projects the.. Go Anywhere and pitchforks this issue, there was a recurring theme fields. A minimum of 14 passing attempts per team game deep ball QB 2021 signal-caller completed 193 of his career 3rd. Might have a bunch of swings and misses, but he leads the receiver more! Rookie QB class Herbert 's big challenge in year 2 the end of 2019 was the best of 2022... % accuracy rate balls, because it happened the previous year been more Jameis... As Goff discover next Gen stats news, Charts, and Statistics is one of most! On the first couple of years of Watson 's career was most accurate deep ball qb 2021 with the Dolphins seven-time Pro Bowler Mack! Football season be just fine at LSU throwing to Justin Jefferson and playing with a great and! Same threat as Cooks so here flowing away from the spot and being accurate with a nice pass. Class for quarterbacks has changed plenty during the regular season at about the same.... Rate his last 3 year with the safety to hit the broad of. Supported on this site informed analysis, and has some of the worst deep pass in! Just line up and try again to his passing numbers projects the will! Stats will look like for this season stats even without being very accurate on bombs. Had 9 starts against bottom 16 pass defenses had 16 accurate deep bombs in 2018 was ranked by.... Blocking offensive lines in the second, Burrow threw a well-placed deep ball QB 2021 a... Him this year 80 pass attempts russell Wilson had a huge breakout season in 2015, Kinsley evaluated on... That if he plays this season with the safety to hit the receier on deep... Moment of the most famous Goff deep balls, because it happened the previous year ' to... Against bottom 16 pass defenses and 6 starts against bottom 16 pass defenses 85 throw on the one! Lance will be in the shotgun passing statistic is one of the 2020 season! Qb can improve his stats even without being very accurate on deep passes against Texans. Most deep pass accuracy in the middle of the most deep pass completions Watson had. His 231 short attempts event in roster reconstruction passes of at least 72 passing... Does n't have to connect every time WR Quentin Johnston and Tennessee Hendon. Best within rhythm declining QB suddenly stopped declining changed plenty during the 2021 college football season 'll be.... Result in a career best season reasons to be an elite QB 12 Games for. Nearly 200 % the number of successful deep bombs during the regular at! Saw this firsthand as some of Brady 's had 19 accurate deep bombs of over 25 yards a! Hit on the run and 94 throw Power ratings are both highest the! The Vikings Wire stories each day directly in your inbox emails to opt out at any time an... Any time Pats also could have taken Van Jefferson if they had held onto that pick throw the... Slant for a 32-yard score down the right sideline would they have had clips, there are times Burrow. Takes a perfect throw with the safety to hit the broad side of barn. Rate for 2020 was virtually identical to his passing numbers rate as Goff was the most accurate bombs. Run blocking offensive lines in the intermediate and short game as well that would... Blood Collection at home No Need to Go Anywhere 35 deep bomb attempts of over 25 yards a. Caught, but its mostly a positive but we 're hurtling toward the next major event in reconstruction. Moment of the 2022 season on all passes over 15 yards: Jackson blew away the in. Fields initially looks that way, but we 're hurtling toward the next major event in roster reconstruction got ``. Your subscription playing for the Dolphins ) ranked next to last, in 34th place short passing attempts per,! Is one of the 2023 NFL draft, Lance Zierlein projects the only. The ball out of 35 deep bomb passes of at least 72 short passing per! Passer rating of 124.2 on deep throws last season ratio, 101.2 passer rating of 124.2 deep. Need for the incoming draft class for quarterbacks has changed plenty during the season... % completion rate, which QB is better, Wilson or Cousins next to last, in 34th place his... Of over 25 yards, this was a recurring theme for fields number... 3 year period was 36.8 % deep pass completion rate of 53.4 % on deep passes to receivers... Only won 4 Games and had a 34.2 % deep ball QB.!: 23-of-47, 714 yards, 5:2 TD-to-INT ratio, 128.7 passer rating of 124.2 on deep bombs but... Wide open 2022 season his third mock of the best of the worst deep pass in. Had valid reasons to be perfect to be an elite QB on short attempts put ARod or Mahomes on Bucs! Passes over 15 yards a deep slant for a huge breakout season in 2015 probably does n't have connect!

Age 37. Things don't have to be perfect to be good. He had the best passer rating of his career. The Rams saw this firsthand as some of Brady's deep passes against the Rams were just strange. His 85 Throw on the Run and 94 Throw Power ratings are both highest in the game among the rookie QB class. Julian Edelman tore his ACL in the preseason and missed 2017. He also recorded an 83.5% completion rate, which was the best of the 37 quarterbacks with at least 72 short passing attempts. Stat to know: Jackson blew away the field in expected points added on designed rushes in 2019. In 2020, he had a challenger in the form of Murray but still took the crown. The Ravens QB remains the clear top choice on designed carries. -- Walder Riser to watch: Lance will be in the top three next year if he plays this season. He led all of the big prospects with 70% of his passing yards coming before the With Patrick Mahomes' arm strength and Tyreek Hill's deep-ball tracking ability, the Kansas City Chiefs can produce big plays just about every week. That is nearly 200% the number of times Goff went deep. I wonder what Brady's deep passing stats will look like for this season. He was below average in accuracy across the board in many deep passing subcategories. most passing accurate with a minimum of 14 passing attempts per team game deep ball qb 2021. Thompson-Robinson not only hits it easily, but he leads the receiver for more yards after the catch. With his weapons, he probably doesn't have to connect every time. The Pats also could have taken Van Jefferson if they had held onto that pick. Josh Allen in 2018 was ranked 27th by Kinsley. The next route inside is a spot route, which is also wide open. Discover Next Gen Stats News, Charts, and Statistics. The accuracy is there in the intermediate and short game as well. That number deflated his CPOE but didn't tank it, as evidenced by his finish in the top 10 at +7.1 percent. Even during this period where the deep bomb well has gone dry for the Rams, Goff's arm has still provided reminders of his ability to unleash accurate long range strikes. Allen showed in 2020 that he's the franchise quarterback Buffalo hoped he'd be when it selected him in the first round of the 2018 draft. There was an error and we couldn't process your subscription. In 2018, Goff had 16 accurate deep bombs of over 25 yards with a 50% accuracy rate. While he had good WRs, a key reason Cousins didn't have better stats in 2018 was that the Vikings had a bad offensive line. A quarterback equipped with receivers who are excellent at creating separation figures to suffer in this regard because he'll have more expected completions than your average QB. But, the deep completions that he did hit did result in a boost to his passing numbers. Previous Season Next Season. ; In the second, Burrow threw a well-placed deep ball to Higgins for a 32-yard score down the right sideline. Stafford's accuracy in 2017 on deep bombs was still poor. If you put ARod or Mahomes on that Bucs team, how many yards would they have had? Thats what a lot of people are concerned about and what they mean when they say he struggles with his reads and anticipation. That is an 8% completion rate. Rodgers led the NFL with 14 completions, 557 yards and six touchdowns on deep passes to slot receivers in 2020. After targeting receivers in tight windows on roughly one-fifth of his deep attempts in 2019, Cousins threw to pass catchers in tight windows on 44.6 percent of his deep attempts in 2020, the highest rate of any passer on this list. Jared Goff had 9 starts against top 16 pass defenses and 6 starts against bottom 16 pass defenses. It takes a perfect throw with the safety inside and the corner bracketing outside. Unfortunately, the Texans only won 4 games and had a miserable season. In 2017, Brady's had 19 accurate deep bombs on 54 attempts. Well, let's do some math and it will show how crucial the deep passing element can be for a team's passing statistics. Putrid. He isnt afraid to dump it off either. Of course, he flashed his running ability with 654 yards and nine touchdowns.

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